Back

CFTC speculative positioning - ANZ

FXStreet (Delhi) – Irene Cheung, Senior FX Strategist at ANZ, lists down the positioning data is for the week ending 29 December 2015.

Key Quotes

• “Leveraged funds started to put back some long USD positions in late December (though at a gradual pace) after paring back positions earlier.

• For the week ended 29 December, leveraged accounts’ net long USD positions rose for a second consecutive week by USD0.2bn to USD27.7bn. This compares with a low of USD24.1bn in mid-December but is still some way from the high of net USD longs of USD34.4bn at the start of December. Price action suggests that more long USD positions might have been added since then.

• Leveraged funds added net EUR shorts by another USD0.3bn to USD16.8bn, a second consecutive week of increase. This followed a pare-back in early December after the ECB disappointed in its monetary easing moves.

• Leveraged accounts pared back in their net short JPY positions, by USD1.4bn to USD4.6bn, the lowest level in 10 weeks. Risk aversion in early January could see a further reduction in net JPY shorts.

• The market however remained downbeat on the GBP, raising its net shorts by another USD1bn to USD2bn, the biggest shorts since last April.

• The reprieve to commodity currencies earlier in December proved to be short-lived. Leveraged funds have since added new shorts in CAD and AUD, by USD0.1bn and USD0.3bn respectively in the week. NZD was the exception with leveraged accounts maintaining a net long position of around USD0.2bn for three consecutive weeks.

• While leveraged funds remained net short EM currencies, they were net long BRL for four consecutive weeks.”

Speculators close out short bets on Oil in final week of 2015

As reflected by the CFTC data, hedge funds’ bearish bets on the black gold shrank 8.5% in the week ended Dec. 29 to a six-week low. However, that failed to revive optimism in oil markets as speculators also reduced long positions, with the net long positions hovering near five-year lows.
Đọc thêm Previous

EM: Preview for the week ahead – BBH

Research Team at BBH, suggests that EM starts 2016 on a weak footing, with negative sentiment carrying over from 2015 as the global backdrop remains poor, with the Fed likely to continue its tightening cycle with another hike in March and commodity prices remain near the lows, while China data suggests that the slowdown (albeit modest) continues.
Đọc thêm Next